In this paper, we propose a Network-Weighted Functional Regression (NWFR) model, an extension of Spatially Weighted Functional Regression (SWFR) to functional data defined on network-structured settings. To assess predictive uncertainty, we develop a functional conformal prediction procedure that yields a distribution-free prediction interval with guaranteed coverage. Through extensive evaluation on both simulated and real-world datasets, we demonstrate that the explicit modeling of network structure yields substantive improvements in point-prediction accuracy and markedly enhances the validity and precision of the resulting prediction intervals.

Developments in Functional Regression Model for Network Structured Data

Romano, Elvira
Conceptualization
;
Irpino, Antonio
Methodology
;
2025

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a Network-Weighted Functional Regression (NWFR) model, an extension of Spatially Weighted Functional Regression (SWFR) to functional data defined on network-structured settings. To assess predictive uncertainty, we develop a functional conformal prediction procedure that yields a distribution-free prediction interval with guaranteed coverage. Through extensive evaluation on both simulated and real-world datasets, we demonstrate that the explicit modeling of network structure yields substantive improvements in point-prediction accuracy and markedly enhances the validity and precision of the resulting prediction intervals.
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11591/596926
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