We propose a Network-Weighted Functional Regression (NWFR) model, a rigorous extension of Spatially Weighted Functional Regression (SWFR) that directly addresses the challenges of functional data distributed over complex, network-structured domains. Unlike traditional methods limited to spatial or Euclidean contexts, NWFR is designed to capture the often irregular dependencies embedded in real-world networks. To rigorously quantify predictive uncertainty in such settings, we develop a functional conformal prediction framework that delivers distribution-free prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage. Through comprehensive evaluations on both simulated and real-world datasets, we show that explicitly modeling network complexity leads to accuracy and improves the validity of the resulting prediction intervals.

Advances in functional regression for network-structured data

Elvira Romano
Membro del Collaboration Group
;
Antonio Irpino
Membro del Collaboration Group
;
2025

Abstract

We propose a Network-Weighted Functional Regression (NWFR) model, a rigorous extension of Spatially Weighted Functional Regression (SWFR) that directly addresses the challenges of functional data distributed over complex, network-structured domains. Unlike traditional methods limited to spatial or Euclidean contexts, NWFR is designed to capture the often irregular dependencies embedded in real-world networks. To rigorously quantify predictive uncertainty in such settings, we develop a functional conformal prediction framework that delivers distribution-free prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage. Through comprehensive evaluations on both simulated and real-world datasets, we show that explicitly modeling network complexity leads to accuracy and improves the validity of the resulting prediction intervals.
2025
979-12-243-0083-0
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11591/570548
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